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Donald Trump, tax transparency, political polling and snowy robots
Week 45
Hello Insiders!
It’s been another one of those big weeks for news (but really, when is it not?!) and if like me you stayed up on Tuesday night to watch some of the US election results coming in then you’ve probably been trying to make up that sleep deficit ever since!
I remember the first Trump victory when we all expected Hilary Clinton would win. I was in the Helsingin Sanomat newsroom waiting to do a live broadcast and because the result took a long time to be called, we kept pushing the start time further and further back and our poor political analysts were relying on the coffee to stay awake!
So I thought this week we’d start with the Finnish reaction to Trump’s election victory in the US: from the hasty charm offensive to the deeper messaging being pushed out by ministers.
Plus: Tax transparency day, cuts to Yle, frozen robots and Ukraine in the headlines.
Finland international
Congratulations. Prime Minister Petteri Orpo (NCP) and President Alexander Stubb were both very quick to tweet out their congratulations to Donald Trump early on Wednesday morning, they both said more or less the same thing.
Congratulations to President-elect @realDonaldTrump and Vice President-elect @JDVance. The relations between Finland and the United States are strong and comprehensive. I look forward to working together as Allies to advance our common interests in security and prosperity.
— Petteri Orpo (@PetteriOrpo)
10:05 AM • Nov 6, 2024
Television. Later on Tuesday, Stubb did an interview on CNN about the US election which he promoted in advance, and then shared several clips on social media. In the conversation with Christiane Amanpour, Stubb said (without a hint of irony about Finland’s own political situation!) that “the mega-trend for 2024” is the rejection of free trade and immigration in a further shift to the right. This trend, Stubb says, has been happening since the end of the financial crisis. Watch more here:
“The mega trend that we have right now is to the right,” says Finland’s President @alexstubb, starting during the financial crisis. “Right now there is this rejection of multilateralism, of rules, of free trade, of institutions… We live now… in a multipolar world. And with this… x.com/i/web/status/1…
— Christiane Amanpour (@amanpour)
7:12 PM • Nov 7, 2024
Beyond the ‘headline act’ of Stubb on CNN, foreign minister Elina Valtonen set out some stronger foreign policy messages about Europe, Ukraine and the incoming Trump administration (her State Secretary, long-time Kokoomus operative Pasi Rajala, who has filled in for Valtonen at a couple of international meetings recently, reinforced this message as well to his network on social media).
“Europe must and will do more for its security. We’re on the right track, certainly compared to Trump’s previous term. Second, we need more cooperation and trade across the Atlantic, not less. You don’t set tariffs against your friends and allies, which not only weakens them but yourself, too. Third, there is no negotiation on Ukraine without Ukraine.”
Mixed. There have been some other mixed reactions from experts to Trump’s election win and what it means for Finland. Finance Minister Riikka Purra (Finns) says Finland will have to increase its defence spending and that Europe needs to learn to take care of its own defence need. Meanwhile, economist Vesa Vihriälä writes that a new Trump presidency might weaken Finland’s defence, if he’s intent on undermining or leaving NATO. And Mikko Hautala, the former Finnish ambassador to Washington, told Yle on Saturday morning that Finland should watch and wait to see what direction Trump’s policies actually take.
Finland Insider’s take. Elina Valtonen understands the assignment. I mean, Harris hadn’t conceded, the votes were still being counted, and yet Stubb and Orpo were engaged in some sort of undignified European rush to be the first to congratulate Trump on his victory on Wednesday morning. All the more strange from Stubb whose office had said earlier this year that “As a rule, the President of the Republic congratulates foreign heads of state on inauguration day” when questions were raised about why it took so long to congratulate Indian PM Mohdi after his election victory. The president and PM could have sent some nice boilerplate congratulations focusing on the democratic process, and perhaps let Valtonen get down to the substance in her comments. But Stubb is an avowed America-phile, and still seems desperate for a White House invitation (his predecessor Sauli Niinistö got plenty of those!) and will be hoping Trump invites him over. He just didn’t need to be so obviously thirsty about it.
As one Brussels-based US journalist commented to me this week: “The rank hypocrisy is the most depressing bit. Putin is evil, we're told. But a man who praises Putin and tells him to do "whatever the hell he wants" to Europe is a "strong partner". Makes it hard to take these 🇪🇺 leaders seriously.”
Of course there are other, non-US things happening internationally this week which concern Finland:
Ukraine. Stubb had a call on Friday with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. There’s a lot more detail in Zelenskyy’s tweet (below).
I had a call with the President of Finland @alexstubb, during which we discussed the effective organization of the thematic conference on Point 8 ‘Environmental Security’ in Helsinki, as well as the subsequent international efforts needed to restore a just peace for Ukraine.
I… x.com/i/web/status/1…
— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa)
5:18 PM • Nov 8, 2024
Ukraine 2. PM Orpo has also been talking about Ukraine and the US this week. “I think we have to give a clear message here today to the United States and the new administration that we support Ukraine as long and as much as needed. The message has to be clear and strong.” He also reiterated that Europe “must do more” to build up its own security capacity.
PM @PetteriOrpo on the discussion about the Finnish model:
"We are a member of NATO, we are a member of the European Union. We are supporting Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression. And this is the model the Ukrainian people are fighting for."
— Finnish Government (@FinGovernment)
11:15 AM • Nov 7, 2024
Ukraine 3. Left Alliance MEP Li Andersson took a group of her left-wing colleagues to Ukraine this week, to show them the realities of what is happening there. Andersson told the media that while there is support for financial aid to Ukraine, there can be resistance from the left on sending weapons because of the group’s strong links to the peace movement. “When you get MEPs to create personal relationships with Ukrainians, it keeps the discussion alive within the European left, and this way even more actors get to understand what the realities of the war in Ukraine are," Andersson told HS.
Amsterdam. Finns Party MEP Sebastian Tynkkynen gave a speech in the European Parliament (rightly) condemning violence between Israeli football supporters and pro-Palestinian groups in Amsterdam. The incidents happened late Wednesday night after a match. But then in true Finns Party style Tynkkynen - who has several convictions in Finnish courts for ethnic agitation against minority groups - managed to make the speech about the dangers of “mass immigration.” But of course.
Inside the headlines
Immigration. Finland needs more skilled immigrants due to population decline. But the government is making it much more difficult for immigrants to stay in the country, creating a so-called ‘hostile environment’ for them, and this week Migri reports the number of work-based residence permits is down this year so far by 5% while the number of specialist applications is down by 24%. Go figure.
Tax. Thursday was tax transparency day, when it’s revealed which Finns paid the most in tax, and therefore gives a clue to how much they’re worth: something of an obsession with Finnish media, especially the tabloids. A survey from Finnish Business and Policy Forum EVA found that while 55% of Finns don’t think tax transparency is too intrusive, a similar number 52% find it a pointless annual exercise.
Daddies. Kela said this week that paternity leaves in Finland have nearly doubled in length after a 2022 reform of the parental leave system. The change granted both parents equal amounts of leave for the first time: 160 days each of paid leave, to be used before the child turns two. Sixty-three of the days can be transferred to the other parent, if desired.
GPS. Three airports in Eastern Finland are reintroducing radio navigation equipment to facilitate aircraft landings during times that authorities believe Russia is interfering with satellite navigation. Airports in Joensuu and Savonlinna - both about an hour's drive from the Russian border - introduced refitted ground equipment in September; while Lappeenranta is planning to do the same as soon as possible, Reuters reports.
The radio-based Distance Measuring Equipment, previously widely used in aviation, provides an alternative approach method for aircraft during GPS interference.
Yle. Public broadcaster Yle has had a rough year so far - mostly under fire from the far-right for supposedly being “woke” in terms of offering diversity and inclusivity training to staff. Now the CEO Merja Ylä-Antillä says they are considering freezing bonuses and salaries for her position and the rest of the Yle board. The comments come at the end of a week when Yle announced talks would begin to cut 375 staff in a bid to save €66 million.
Party. Invitations for the annual 6 December Independence Day celebrations at the presidential palace have started to arrive - but skateboard star Heili Sirviö, one of the few highlights at an otherwise dreadful summer Olympics for Finland - probably won’t be getting one as she’s too young. The athlete is just 13-years-old while the age limit for the party is 18. Surely they could make an exception just this one time?
Inside politics
Poll. A new Yle opinion poll this week showed the Social Democrats extending their lead with 24.3% support. The National Coalition Party is in second place, down to 18.8% while the Finns Party falls to 15.7% in third place. If you add up the support for all the government coalition parties - NCP, Finns, Christian Democrats, Swedish People’s Party - this is the lowest they’ve polled since taking office.
KINO. Kokoomus MP Tere Sammallahti hit the headlines this week for his comments about a Social Democrat MP. The latest incident happened after Ville Merinen wrote that he’d asked ChatGPT ‘how to destroy the social welfare state’ and the programme’s answer had been ‘adopt the policies of Petteri Orpo’s government.” For the LOLZ, I imagine.
But then Sammallahti weighed in: “Are you the same man who recently wailed with tears in his eyes about the parliament's debate culture? That might give a bystander the suspicion that you, Ville, faked a little to get publicity.”
Finland Insider’s take. Accusing another MP of faking work-related stress just to get publicity? That’s a little harsh! But then again Sammallahti does love to use his bully pulpit to bark at people he doesn’t like. He once called me in public “a fucking sorry excuse for a journalist” and there were absolutely no repercussions from his party administration. He has a reputation of being on the right of the NCP, to the point that I’ve labelled him a ‘KINO MP’ - Kokoomus In Name Only. He sides so reliably often with Finns Party positions he might as well be one of them.
And finally…
Robots that deliver groceries for Finnish supermarkets are arguably the cutest types of robots. But when the robot uprising happens, you still want to make sure you’re on their good side: so if you see one stuck in the snow, don’t forget to give it a helping hand!
Itt nem a vasúttársaságot éri meglepetésként az első hó, hanem a házhozszállító robotokat
— Robert Dezso (@drobee)
10:44 AM • Nov 2, 2024
Thank you, kiitos, tack
That’s all for this week, thank you for reading to the end. If you’ve got any story suggestions, news tips or scoops feel free to message me directly at [email protected] and I’d be happy to take a look.
In the meantime - have a great weekend and catch you next Saturday.
David